How will the parc develop at the start of 2026?
Alongside vehicle sales, the service business is a key success factor for dealerships and manufacturers. All the more reason to take a closer look at the aftermarket: Since service potential grows in line with the size of the parc, we would like to give you an early outlook on possible parc figures in the car market.
Our forecast draws on historic parc data from the German Federal Motor Transport Authority (KBA) from the past five years, modelled for the reference date of 1 January 2026. The table below shows the forecast for selected brands in Germany.
as of 1 January 2026
| wdt_ID | wdt_created_by | wdt_created_at | wdt_last_edited_by | wdt_last_edited_at | Pos. | Brands | Parc 1.1.2026 | Change in % | Pos. change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 606 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 1 | VW | 10,369,540 | +0.8 % | 0 |
| 607 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 2 | MERCEDES | 4,760,060 | +0.8 % | 0 |
| 608 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 3 | OPEL | 3,826,880 | -2.2 % | 0 |
| 609 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 4 | BMW | 3,499,190 | +1.3 % | 0 |
| 610 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 5 | AUDI | 3,304,680 | -0.1 % | △ +1 |
| 611 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 6 | FORD | 3,275,210 | -1.5 % | ▽ -1 |
| 612 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 7 | SKODA | 2,879,790 | +4.7 % | 0 |
| 613 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 8 | SEAT | 1,721,440 | +6.4 % | △ +1 |
| 614 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 9 | RENAULT | 1,592,240 | -2.5 % | ▽ -1 |
| 615 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 10 | HYUNDAI | 1,581,190 | +2.4 % | 0 |
| 616 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 11 | TOYOTA | 1,321,890 | +0.6 % | 0 |
| 617 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 12 | FIAT | 1,299,210 | -0.1 % | 0 |
| 618 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 13 | PEUGEOT | 954,690 | -1.4 % | 0 |
| 619 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 14 | KIA | 905,040 | +2.6 % | 0 |
| 620 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 15 | DACIA | 853,490 | +6.0 % | △ +1 |
| 621 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 16 | MAZDA | 830,550 | -0.7 % | ▽ -1 |
| 622 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 17 | NISSAN | 770,800 | -1.2 % | 0 |
| 623 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 18 | CITROEN | 707,800 | 0.0 % | 0 |
| 624 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 19 | MINI | 585,660 | +1.8 % | 0 |
| 625 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 20 | VOLVO | 574,930 | +3.6 % | 0 |
| 626 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 21 | MITSUBISHI | 524,130 | -1.3 % | 0 |
| 627 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 22 | SUZUKI | 523,180 | +0.1 % | 0 |
| 628 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 23 | SMART | 474,020 | -2.9 % | 0 |
| 629 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 24 | PORSCHE | 414,010 | +2.9 % | 0 |
| 630 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 25 | HONDA | 340,130 | -3.8 % | 0 |
| 631 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 26 | TESLA | 189,950 | -0.7 % | 0 |
| 632 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 27 | JEEP | 164,430 | +2.2 % | 0 |
| 633 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 28 | LAND ROVER | 126,630 | +1.4 % | 0 |
| 634 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 29 | SUBARU | 110,310 | -1.8 % | 0 |
| 635 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 30 | ALFA ROMEO | 99,270 | 0.0 % | 0 |
| 636 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 31 | MG | 91,060 | +28.2 % | △ +1 |
| 637 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 32 | JAGUAR | 74,890 | -4.6 % | ▽ -1 |
| 638 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 33 | LEXUS | 36,560 | +5.6 % | 0 |
| 639 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 34 | DS | 34,000 | -0.4 % | 0 |
| 640 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 35 | SSANGYONG | 23,640 | -3.1 % | 0 |
| 641 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 36 | BYD | 20,280 | +345.4 % | ▲ +4 |
| 642 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 37 | POLESTAR | 18,920 | +31.8 % | ▽ -1 |
| 643 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 38 | GWM | 8,250 | +31.5 % | 0 |
| 644 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 39 | LEAPMOTOR | 7,180 | +3933.7 % | ▲ +4 |
| 645 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 40 | LYNK & CO | 6,290 | -3.6 % | ▼ -3 |
| 646 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 41 | LOTUS | 5,300 | +4.7 % | ▼ -2 |
| 647 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 42 | XPENG | 3,140 | +711.4 % | 0 |
| 648 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | 43 | NIO | 1,830 | +6.1 % | ▼ -2 |
| 649 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | Other brands | 672,350 | -15.2 % | ||
| 650 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | rKroeger | 16.12.2025 14:57 | Total | 49,584,030 | +0.5 % |
* Extrapolation based on KBA data, as of 1 January 2025
Data source: Kraftfahrt-Bundesamt. Bestand. Retrieved December 15, 2025. Data license by-2-0. Own calculation/own layout.
© 2025 Management Services Helwig Schmitt GmbH, www.manserv.com
After-sales: a key driver of future growth
Looking ahead to January 2026, we see an overall stable development of the parc, although younger brands in particular are operating in a more dynamic environment. Realising the resulting aftermarket potential depends on strong regional coverage through service locations. A well-developed network not only strengthens customer loyalty, but also enhances brand perception – which in turn has a positive effect on new vehicle sales. In addition to that, service activities account for a significant share of total business.
Taken together, these considerations firmly establish after-sales as an essential strategic growth factor. To make informed decisions on this matter, a solid data foundation is indispensable. That is where we come in: With powerful market information systems, high-quality data analysis, and targeted consulting, we provide the transparency required to identify potential at an early stage – both nationally and regionally. If this resonates with you, feel free to get in touch with us!
Find out more about our services for after-sales market analysis here.
Last updated December 2025
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